Untertitel:: NATO Science for Peace and Security Series
Herausgeber:: Philippe Baveye / Jaroslav Mysiak / Magdeline Laba
Verlag:: Springer
Erschienen:: 14.05.2009
Seitenanzahl:: 401
ISBN:: 9048126363
EAN:: 9789048126361
Format:: eBook
Schutz:: Adobe-DRM
Downloadzeit:: Maximaler Downloadzeitraum: 24 Monate

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Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making

Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.